Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10174/22756

Title: Potential impacts of climate change on habitat suitability of Fagus sylvatica L. forests in spain
Authors: Del Río, Sara
Álvarez-Esteban, Ramón
Cano, Eusebio
Pinto-Gomes, Carlos
Penas, Ángel
Keywords: Bioclimatology
climate change
Fagus sylvatica
habitat suitability
Phytogeography
Spain
MaxEnt
Issue Date: 22-Feb-2018
Publisher: Taylor & Francis (Plant Biosystems- InInternational Journal Dealing with all Aspects of Plant Biology)
Citation: Sara del Río, Ramón Álvarez-Esteban, Eusebio Cano, Carlos Pinto-Gomes & Ángel Penas (2018): Potential impacts of climate change on habitat suitability of Fagus sylvatica L. forests in spain, Plant Biosystems - An International Journal Dealing with all Aspects of Plant Biology, DOI: 10.1080/11263504.2018.1435572
Abstract: Fagus sylvatica forests are considered to be of Community interest according to Directive 92/43/EEC. Climate change predictions for Spain point to a warming scenario, coupled with decreasing rainfall, which may have an impact on their future distribution particularly at the extremes of its distribution area. Species distribution models incorporating bioclimatic, topographic and phytogeographic variables were used as predictors to assess their habitat suitability under current conditions and a climate change projection. Ten single models were generated and an ensemble-forecasting model was subsequently built by computing a consensus of single-model projections. The results revealed that ombrothermic indices are the main factors controlling the distribution of Spanish beech forests. They are highly vulnerable to climate change and could suffer a decline in their habitat suitability if climate trends observed are maintained in the future. The least favoured areas for them will be located close to the limit between the Temperate and Mediterranean climates, where they could suffer a loss of habitat suitability. Conversely, suitable new areas could be found mainly in western areas of the Cantabrian Range and in the Central Pyrenees.
URI: https://doi.org/10.1080/11263504.2018.1435572
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/22756
Type: article
Appears in Collections:PAO - Publicações - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais Com Arbitragem Científica
ICAAM - Publicações - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais Com Arbitragem Científica

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