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|Title: ||Addressing Wildfire Risk in Forest Management Planning with Multiple Criteria Decision Making Methods|
|Authors: ||Marques, Susete|
|Editors: ||Rosen, Marc|
|Keywords: ||multiple criteria decision making|
Pareto frontier methods
wildfire risk criteria
|Issue Date: ||Feb-2017|
|Citation: ||S. Marques, M. Marto, V. Bushenkov, M. McDill, J.G. Borges. Addressing Wildfire Risk in Forest Management Planning with Multiple Criteria Decision Making Methods.- Sustainability, 2017, 9, 298.|
|Abstract: ||Wildfires impact the outcomes of forest management plans. Addressing that impact is thus
critical for effective forest ecosystem management planning. This paper presents research on the use
of multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) methods that integrate wildfire risk in planning contexts
characterized by multiple objectives. Specifically, an a posteriori preference modeling approach is
developed that adds wildfire criteria to a set of objectives representing ecosystem services supply
values. Wildfire risk criteria are derived from stand-level wildfire occurrence and damage models as
well as from the characteristics of neighboring stands that may impact wildfire probability and spread.
A forested landscape classified into 1976 stands is used for testing purposes. The management
planning criteria include the carbon stock, harvest volumes for three forest species, the volume
of the ending inventory, and resistance to wildfire risk indicators. Results show the potential of
multiple criteria decision making methods to provide information about trade-offs between wildfire
risk and the supply of provisioning (timber) as well as regulatory (carbon) ecosystem services.
This information may contribute to the effectiveness of forest ecosystem management planning.|
|Appears in Collections:||CIMA - Publicações - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais Com Arbitragem Científica|
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